Class 1s to Report Stellar 2nd Quarter Results

Wall Street analysts are expecting North America’s Class 1 railroads to report sterling financial results for the second quarter of this year because traffic has continued to rise and the railroads have also imposed rate increases.

A review of analysts’ projections that was undertaken by Trains magazine found that the Wall Street mavens are expecting earnings per share to rise by an average of 23 percent for all roads except Canadian National.

The rate increases have been made possible in part because of limited capacity in the trucking industry.

However, some analysts believe that railroad service issues have prevented them from reaping traffic growth opportunities, particularly in intermodal traffic.

The railroads have seen their intermodal traffic grow by around 5 to 6 percent and reach record-setting levels, but it could have been higher.

The demand by online retailers, such as Amazon, for brown paper and cardboard boxes has pulp and paper mills operating at high capacity yet they are relying on trucks and not rail to ship that commodity.

Pulp and paper traffic by rail is flat compared to last year and well below the five-year average.

Analysts are likely to be asking questions in coming weeks about how a trade war that is underway with the imposition of tariffs in a tit for tat fashion will affect the financial performance of railroads down the line.

The Association of American Railroads has noted that 42 percent of rail traffic and 35 percent of railroad revenue is linked to trade.

With the trucking industry operating at 100 percent, there remain opportunities for railroads to gain market share in freight volume.

CSX will report its second quarter results on July 17 while Norfolk Southern will issue its report on July 25.

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