Speakers at the recently concluded North East Association of Rail Shippers virtual fall conference expressed cautious optimism that recent growth in intermodal volume can help railroads recover from traffic losses prompted by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Jason Seidl, managing director of Cowan and Company said the consensus among railroad executives who spoke during the conference is that current trends could continue for the remainder of 2020 and into next year.
Railroads are bullish on intermodal for the time being due to continued tightness in the trucking industry that has sent some shipment onto the rails.
Kansas City Southern CEO Pat Ottensmeyer said the USMCA treaty, which replaced NAFTA, “allows North America to emerge as an even more powerful force in global manufacturing and trade.”
However, Ottensmeyer said the United States “must do a better job” coordinating policy with Mexico and Canada in order to maximize the benefits of the treaty.
Tom Tisa, who heads business development for CSX, noted that railroads posted intermodal traffic records in August because retailers were restocking depleted inventories and preparing for the holiday sales season.
However, Tisa expressed some uncertainty that the intermodal surge is sustainable although he is optimistic that it will continue.
Speakers at the conferences noted a contrast between how Canadian Class 1 railroads are managing their precision scheduled railroading operating model with how it is being done by U.S.-based carriers.
Analysts said this probably is because Canadian National and Canadian Pacific have been using PSR for a longer period of time whereas the U.S. carriers are still in early stages of
PSR, particularly those focused on chopping costs and paring assets.
Whereas U.S. railroads are still looking to sell low-density lines, Canadian carriers are seeking to add routes, including some lines they once spun off.
Tags: COVID-19 pandemic, intermodal, intermodal traffic, Kansas City Southern, NAFTA, North East Association of Rail Shippers, precision scheduled railroading, railroad intermodal traffic
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