Although all North American Class 1 railroads but BNSF have embraced the precision scheduled railroading model with enthusiasm, their customers are less enthusiastic.
Shippers attending a conference earlier this year of the North East Association of Rail Shippers heard ixed reviews about PSR.
One panelist said it’s too soon to say whether PSR has or will deliver its promised benefits of better service.
Todd Tranasky, vice president rail and intermodal at FRT Associates, said at mature PSR railroads, including Canadian National and Canadian Pacific, service has stabilized and even improved in some lanes.
However, adverse weather has skewed the service quality at other carriers that have recently implemented PSR, making it difficult to draw a firm conclusion on the operating model’s impact.
“Shippers are not entirely happy with the changes that have occurred, even though PSR has not been the only influence on railroad behavior and modal dynamics,” Tanasky said.
An analysis published in Railway Age noted that attendance at the NEARS conference last April was the second largest in the history of the conference, something the magazine attributed to the adoption of PSR by CSX and Norfolk Southern as well as CN and CP, all of which serve the Northeastern United States.
Speaking to the conference, NEARS President Jason Seidl said that shippers had an initial bias against PSR because of how poorly the practice unfolded at CSX in 2017.
“Despite an initial bias against PSR driven by CSX’s early service failures, they seem to be cautiously optimistic that PSR implementation on the part of NS, Union Pacific and Kansas City Southern will have a more balanced approach.” Seidel said.
Railway Age observed that it remains unclear how PSR is affecting shippers.
In its analysis the magazine observed that PSR has become a “buzz-acronym much of the Wall Street sell-side community has embraced with predictable gusto, because it appears to be based on generating short-term ‘shareholder value’ (an equally popular buzz-term) and not on long-term, sustainable top-line business growth.”
Looming over the discussion about the effect of PSR on freight shippers is the shadow of the late E. Hunter Harrison, the railroad executive who is most associated with favoring the PSR model, having implemented it at the Illinois Central, CN, CP and CSX.
It was Harrison’s implementation of PSR at CSX that most soured many shippers.
“Hunter implemented PSR on CSX way too fast. He broke a lot of eggs. It’s better to make changes much more carefully over a longer time, without cracking the eggs,” said MidRail LLC Chairman Gil Lamphere, who earlier in his career as a railroad entrepreneur and investor dealt with Harrison.
Lamphere was critical of how Class 1 railroads have been behaving since switching to the PSR operating model, saying much of what has occurred in the railroad industry has been driven largely driven by the influence of hedge funds and their short-term return on investment focus.
That has been particularly the case with the obsession by Wall Street and railroad CEOS on operating ratio, which is the percentage of revenue that is used to pay expenses.
Lamphere described this as the “cult of operating ratio.”
He said to Wall Street investors operating ratio is the inverse of operating profits, which should be based on price times volume, not on reducing expenses.
“This isn’t about expenses. It’s about sustainable growth,” Lamphere said. “The Class I railroads have become oligopolies. Money paid out to shareholders is money that’s not being re-invested into the network.”
However, Lamphere said there is one exception. CN is investing capital and adding capacity in a strategic and intelligent manner.
“The future of railroads is not about taking a slice out of the pie, but growing the pie,” Lamphere said.
If the U.S. Class 1 carriers fail to do PSR intelligently, he said, the government is going to get involved.
By that he meant the Class I’s have to respect short line railroads and their interchange points with the Class 1s.
“The Surface Transportation Board is watching this very carefully. STB is sensitive to shipper needs,” Lamphere said.
PSR can be disruptive to the operations of short-line railroads, Lamphere said.
Many short lines do not believe their Class 1 partners are paying attention although he acknowledged that it’s a challenge for the Class Is to integrate short lines into PSR.
Railroads that have implemented PSR have said that it is about better and more efficient movement of rail cars.
This has resulted in changes in how often railroads switch some customers. In many cases changes in railroad operations have been designed to pressure shippers in doing business in different ways.
This has created stress for shippers said Ken Sherman, vice president and general manager of global supply chain logistics provider Intellitrans.
He said shipper concerns with PSR revolve around “planning, smart execution, change management and financials.”
Sherman described planning as order management. “The top priority for shippers is to fill customer orders on time. This results in shipper anxiety when trying to plan for potential change in carrier service.
Shippers build average transit times into the planning process so changes in transit time can negatively affect order fulfilment capability.
In some instances customers have added up to six extra days into transit plans because of PSR implementation.
He said that resulted when shippers changed the routing of some freight to avoid congestion in some yards that resulted during the implementation stages of PSR. But that added transit time.
Sherman said first-mile/last-mile service consistency is critical to shippers but turnover in local train and engine crews has resulted in such service inconsistencies as incorrectly placed rail cars at facilities, missed switches, bill of lading corrections, and increased origin and destination dwell times.
Switching service changes has strained empty car supply, Sherman said.
“Decreased fleet utilization requires acquisition of additional assets to make commitments or keep the plant running,” he said.
Sherman said PSR’s reductions in manifest service “has created the perception that the railroads no longer want this business.”
But Sherman said some shippers have found that they will have to wait for implementation of PSR to play out and for railroads to work out their problems because the perceived hassle is not worth the effort to switch to truck until rail service improves.
Another drawback of PSR is that railroads have virtually no reserve capacity for special situations, including special train/switch availability for hot-car situations.
Shippers perceive that railroads lack sufficient customer service representatives to answer an increased volume of inquiries
If a rail car is placed on the wrong train, it travels further, which limits or eliminates a railroad’s ability to get it turned around.
There have been some positive results from PSR, Sherman said, including decreases in in-transit dwell time, fewer lost cars and intra-carrier mishandled cars, decreased transit time and improved transit consistency.